Archive for January, 2010

2010 Australian Open Final – Murray v Federer Preview

Saturday, January 30th, 2010

The 2010 Australian Open final between 15 time grand slam winner Roger Federer and Andy Murray will take place on the Rod Laver Arena tomorrow at 19:30 local time (8.30am UK time).

Andy Murray will be attempting to end the 74 year old wait for a British grand slam winner, whilst Roger Federer will be trying for his 4th title in Melbourne and extending his record number of slams to his name.

One stat that surely stands out more than any other is that when Roger Federer one his first grand slam he was aged 22 and competing in his 17th grand slam. Andy Murray is currently 22 and the Australian Open is the Scot’s 17th grand slam. The question is can Andy Murray emulate Federer?

The bookmakers see it has more likely that Murray will have to wait a little longer to claim that elusive first grand slam, with tradional bookies seeing Roger Federer favorite at 4/7 and Murray’s chances ranging from 6/5 to 3/2, though Betfair is offering even better odds than that.

Player Roger Federer Andy Murray
Traditional Odds Decimal Odds Traditional Odds Decimal Odds
Betfair 63/100 1.63 39/25 2.56
Sky Bet 8/13 1.62 3/2 2.5
Betfred 8/13 1.62 5/4 2.25
Coral 8/13 1.62 5/4 2.25
Extrabet 8/13 1.62 6/5 2.2
Totesport 4/7 1.57 7/5 2.4
Victor Chandler 4/7 1.57 11/8 2.38
Blue Sq 4/7 1.57 11/8 2.38
Paddy Power 4/7 1.57 11/8 2.38
Stan James 4/7 1.57 11/8 2.38
William Hill 4/7 1.57 11/8 2.38
Bet 365 4/7 1.57 137/100 2.37
Ladbrokes 4/7 1.57 5/4 2.25

Over the last 5 years the only thing that has changed about British players success in grand slams is the increase in the number of years since a British player lifted a grand slam trophy.

When Andy Murray burst onto the tennis scene in the summer of 2005, the question being asked then was – Can Andy Murray end Britain’s 69 year wait for a grand slam winner? It’s now 74 years since Fred Perry lifted his grand slam title and the debate over Andy Murray’s grand slam chances has never stopped.

Murray has ended one 72 year old record this week, not since Henry ‘Bunny’ Austin had a British player reached two grand slam finals – Murray reached his first slam final 17 months ago at the US Open, that day he fell short against the then 12 time grand slam champion Roger Federer.

Since that final Federer has reached every grand slam final and is now a 15 time grand slam champion, whilst Murray has failed to reach the grand slam heights that many predicted losing in the last 4 slams to players he regularly beats and ranked lower than the Scot.

Murray’s 2009 was his most successful year to date, with 6 titles and a brief spell as the world number 2, but despite those accomplishments 2009 will remain as the year that Murray did not win a grand slam. Many great things were predicted for Murray in 2009 including winning the Australian Open, he was favorite in many peoples eyes going into the event, but Murray lost in the 4th round to Fernando Verdasco a player he had beaten 6 times in a row.

2010 is starting how many people expected 2009 to start – Will 2009 be the last year that Murray did not win a grand slam?

2010 Australian Open – Andy Murray Through to Final

Thursday, January 28th, 2010

Andy Murray reaches his second grand slam final after a 4 set win over 14th seed Croatian Marin Cilic.

It took Murray over an hour and one phenominal point to spark the Scot into life as eventually won through 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-2.

After early chances in the first set to break the Croat’s serve , Murray seemed to waver in confidence, he was subsequently broken twice as Cilic claimed the first set. The start of second set was much the same with Murray continuing to struggle on his own serve and Cilic dominating the points.

With the score at 2-2 and Cilic serving, Murray showed signs of better play when he carved out his first break point in a while, what followed was probably the point of that tournament. Cilic fired a back hand into the  top net and it dropped on Murray’s sides of the court, Murray somehow managed to retrieve it before an exchange of volleys seen Cilic lob the Scot. Murray chased it down and  with his back to the court produced a squash style shot that flew by a gobsmacked Cilic rooted at the spot.

Andy Murray will now face either Jo Wilfred Tsonga or Roger Federer in the final, the second semi final will take place tomorrow and the final on Sunday.

In reaching his second grand slam final he becomes the first Britsh Man since John Lloyd to reach the Australian Open final in 1977 and becomes the first British man in the open era to reach two grand slam finals.

2010 Australian Open – Murray v Cilic Preview

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

Andy Murray has just recorded his third win over Rafael Nadal and in doing so reaches his first Australian Open semi final. This will be his third career grand slam final and as for his semi final opponent Marin Cilic this will be the Croat’s first grand slam semi final, in fact Cilic is the first ever player from Croatia to reach the semi final stage at the Melbourne event.

Marin Cilic is currently the world number 14 and is also seeded 14th for this event, born in the Bosnian village of Medjugorje when it is was still part of Yugoslavia, this 21 year old now flying the flag of Croatia turned pro the same year as Andy Murray.

His progress since turning pro in 2005 until the last 6 months had not been as stellar as is other young counterparts. World number 3 Novak Djokovic, world number 5 Juan Martin Del Potro and his opponent on Thursday world number 4 Andy Murray have all been mixing at the very top of the game for a few years now.

Cilic comes into the match on a 9 match winning streak having won the tournament in Chennai, India prior to the Australian Open, it was the Croats fouth ATP title after success in New haven in 2008 and Chennai and Zagreb in 2009.

Murray and Cilic have met 4 times with Murray holding a 3-1 advantage over Cilic, though crucially perhaps the latest match was a surprise straight sets victory 7-5, 6-2, 6-2 for Cilic in the 4th round of the US Open. The shock victory against Murray who was the 2nd favorite for the title and the previous year’s finalist was seen as a major major upset and heaped heavy criticism against Murray.

Since that win though, cilic has been showing signs that, that win at the US open could well have been the begining of his rise to the top of the game, he dispatched another top 10 player Andy Roddick in the quarter finals here and out matched US open champion Juan Martin Del Potro in the 4th round.

For Murray though the semi-final against Cilic will give the Scot the perfect chance to revenge that US open defeat and reach his second career grand slam final.

Murray is favorite with the bookmakers.

Player Andy Murray Marin Cilic
Traditional Odds Decimal Odds Traditional Odds Decimal Odds
Paddy Power 29/100 1.29 5/2 3.5
William Hill 29/100 1.29 5/2 3.5
Betfair 27/100 1.27 7/2 4.5
Sky Bet 1/4 1.25 3/1 4
Bet 365 1/4 1.25 11/4 3.75
Blue Sq 1/4 1.25 11/4 3.75
Stan James 1/4 1.25 11/4 3.75
888 1/4 1.25 11/4 3.75
Ladbrokes 1/4 1.25 11/4 3.75
Betfred 11/50 1.22 3/1 4
Coral 11/50 1.22 3/1 4

2010 Australian Open – Murray into Semi Finals

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

Andy Murray produced a vintage 2 set performance before defending Australian Open champion Rafael Nadal was forced to retire hurt with a right-knee injury in the third set of their quarter final match.

Murray led 6-3 7-6(7-2) 3-0 when Nadal called time on the match – The Spaniard had not shown any sign of injury during the first two sets as he and Murray produced two of the best sets of tennis of the 2010 Australian Open.

In each of the completed sets Murray was forced to break back after the Spaniard took early command in each set. In the first set Nadal broke to lead to 2-1 before Murray broke back with unbelievable lob and then powered on to break again and lead 5-2. Murray held serve to win it 6-3 on his third set point.

The second set was a disjointed affair with score on serve with Nadal leading 3-2, a scheduled Australia day fireworks display caused a 10-minute halt to the match, on return Murray looked to have lost focus with Nadal breaking on their return to lead 4-2. Murray though would break back immediately to level the set again. Murray was a couple of points away from losing the set, but it was the Scot who had the best chances to secure a second break, with 4 break points with score level at 5-5.

Murray failed to convert those points and the set went to a tie break – a faultless tiebreak performance would see the Scot win 7-3 and take a two sets to love lead.

Even though the duo did not complete the match it was Murray’s longest match of the tournament so far (almost 3 hours) giving you insight as to how competitive the match was. Only after Nadal called for the trainer during the second game of the third set did the watching audience have a clue that Rafa’s long standing knee injury may be recurring.

Murray will now face Marin Cilic who beat Andy roddick in a 5 set epic earlier in the day. After the match Murray once again spoke to Jim Courier on court,

I’ve known Rafa since I was 13 or 14 and he is someone I always looked up to when I came up through the juniors, he is my favourite player to watch with his energy and I am a bit gutted for him. I had to come through a few tough moments at the start of the match when I was going for it a bit too much but I played really well.

I had to go for my shots and play big tennis and when the big points come you have got to try to keep them short. You do not want to play long points against Rafa – I served and volley a little bit and everything went well.

2010 Australian Open – Murray into Quarter Finals

Sunday, January 24th, 2010

Andy Murray produced an almost flawless performance to reach his first Australian Open quarter final as he squashed the challenge of American John Isner 7-6 (7-5) 6-3 6-2.

Murray needed just over 2 hours to book his place in the quarter finals – after a tight first set that was decided by a tie break, Murray managed to get hold of the giant Americans powerful serve and was able to break three times in the next two sets to secure a 4th consecutive straights victory at this year’s Australian Open.

Murray will face the current Australian Open champion Rafael Nadal in the quarter finals after the spaniard overcame Ivo Karlovic 6-4 4-6 6-4 6-4.

Murray’s serve remained unbroken the entire the match after his serve had been singled out for criticism in the lead in to the match. Though the Scot did need to save a crucial break point at the end of the first set to allow it to be decided on a tie break.

After the match Murray enjoyed his first on court interview with Australian TV interviewer and former player Jim Courier – Courier’s interviews often ending up in very random topics, though Courier joked that he would go easy on Murray since it was his first time. On the match Murray said,

I’m playing well – no question about that,  I just need to play like I have been, and maybe a bit more if I want to win the tournament. I thought it was a really good performance, out of those unforced errors, probably three of them were in the 6‑5 game in the first set, and a couple early in one of my service games in maybe the second set.

2010 Australian Open – Murray v Isner Preview

Saturday, January 23rd, 2010

Andy Murray will continue his 2010 Australian open journey against 33rd seed American John Isner on Sunday. The match will be first match on the Rod Laver arena at 11am (midnight UK time).

So far in the 2010 Ozzy open Murray has yet to drop a set and in fact is the only man to have not dropped a set so far – he’s reached the 4th round on 2 previous occasions, losing to Rafael Nadal in 2007 and Fernando Verdasco in 2009.

This time though he is not taking on a Spaniard, his opponent tomorrow will be all 6ft 9ins of American John Isner. The 24 year old from Greensboro, North Carolina is currently at a career-high ranking of 28 and the new American number two after overtaking Sam Querrey.

Reaching the 4th round has equaled the American’s grand slam best after he reached the 4th round of the US open last year after 6 consecutive 1st round defeats in his previous grand slam attempts. Though we shouldn’t read too much into this when we look at his recent the big serving Isner has just won his maiden ATP title in Auckland and in the last round he upset 12 seed Gael Monfils and has served 81 aces so far in 3 rounds.

Murray and Isner have never played, though Murray’s record against Americans is pretty good, in the last 3 years he has lost just once in 17 matches – The match he did lose though was a crucial one to Andy Roddick in the semi final of last years Wimbledon.

Bookmakers see this as Andy Murray’s toughest test so far, though he is still odds on favorite to reach the quarter final for the first time. Betfair as usual has the best odds available on both a Murray win and Isner win.

Player Andy Murray John Isner
Traditional Odds Decimal Odds Traditional Odds Decimal Odds
Betfair 4/25 1.16 31/5 7.2
Betfred 7/50 1.14 9/2 5.5
Sky Bet 13/100 1.13 5/1 6
Victor Chandler 13/100 1.13 9/2 5.5
Stan James 13/100 1.13 5/1 6
Extrabet 13/100 1.13 9/2 5.5
Blue Sq 3/25 1.12 9/2 5.5
Ladbrokes 3/25 1.12 9/2 5.5
Coral 3/25 1.12 9/2 5.5
William Hill 3/25 1.12 9/2 5.5
Paddy Power 11/100 1.11 5/1 6
Sporting Bet 1/10 1.1 5/1 6
Bet 365 2/25 1.08 6/1 7

Andy Murray’s thoughts on the 4th round match.

Playing against someone like him is so dangerous. It might come down to a few points. I’ll have to step up to the plate. He’s very similar to Karlovic, None of the guys really enjoy playing against him. He’s a bit better from the back of the court than Karlovic, but Karlovic probably volleys better. It will be a really tough match.

John Isner’s thoughts on the upcoming match,

It’s going to be a challenge to hold serve. That’s going to be my number one focus, and taking it from there, Andy’s such a really, really good player. I’m going to have to play really, really well to have a chance out there. He’s one of the fittest guys on tour. He really can do anything. He can play offence. He can play defence. He can mix it up really well. He’s one of the top favourites for the title I would guess. Him, Federer, Nadal, Del Potro, Djokovic. Andy might even be the favourite. Hopefully I can put an end to his run, but it’s going to be a tough task.

2010 Australian Open – Mens Winner Odds

Saturday, January 23rd, 2010

The 2010 Austrailian Open has now reached the last 16 stage, with all the major contenders for the title still in the event.

From start of the event until now Roger Federer has been the favorite to lift his 16th grand slam title, his odds had been slightly higher at the start of the week, but the best you’ll find now is at Betfair with 53/20 (3.65 decimal).

The second favorite is where the changes have been taking place, at the start of the week Rafael Nadal was second favorite and Andy Murray third, however after the first three rounds, they have switched places with Andy Murray now the second favorite and Nadal third. The best odds you’ll get on Murray is 5/1 and Nadal 32/5, both those at Betfair. Murray and Nadal though are scheduled to meet in quarter finals in the bottom quarter.

2008 winner Novak Djokovic is 4th favorite with inform player Nikolay Davydenko fifth favorite. Davydenko on course to meet Federer in the quarter finals.

Current US open champion Juan Martin Del Potro and 2009 Wimbledon finalist are 7th and 8th favorites and they are both on course to meet in their quarters final.

Best outside shot has to be Marn Cilic, who plays Del potro next and 400/1 outside Ivo Karlovic who meets Nadal in next round.

Player Average Bookmakers odds Betfair Odds
Traditional Odds Decimal Odds Traditional Odds Decimal Odds
Roger Federer 12/5 3.4 53/20 3.65
Andy Murray 9/2 5.5 5/1 6
Rafael Nadal 21/5 5.2 32/5 7.4
Novak Djokovic 31/5 7.2 37/5 8.4
Nikolay Davydenko 67/10 7.7 41/5 9.2
Juan Martin Del Potro 93/10 10.3 27/2 14.5
Andy Roddick 19/1 20 26/1 27
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 20/1 21 25/1 26
Fernando Verdasco 30/1 31 47/1 48
Marin Cilic 30/1 31 47/1 48
Lleyton Hewitt 83/1 84 94/1 95
Fernando Gonzalez 94/1 95 169/1 170
John Isner 149/1 150 279/1 280
Ivo Karlovic 179/1 180 399/1 400
Nicolas Almagro 317/1 318 999/1 1000
Lukasz Kubot 457/1 458 999/1 1000