2008 US Open – Can Murray Beat Rafael Nadal?

Murray Beats Nadal – View the Murray v Nadal 2008 US Open match Report

us open 2008 tennisAndy Murray will once again step onto the Arthur Ashe court in this year’s US Open in the most important match of his short career to date. All that has gone before in Andy Murray’s career will become that less significant if he can win this match and book his place in the US Open final.

The match is scheduled for an 11am start (4pm UK time) on Saturday due to the expected inclement weather warning with the remnants of tropical storm Hanna forecasted to hit the New York area. The whole of “super Saturday” may be completely washed out, which would mean play would be required on Monday.

In order for Murray to win tomorrow, the young scot will need to beat the incredible world number 1 Rafael Nadal, a feat that man from Dunblane has not managed to do in 5 attempts. Yet this will not matter when Murray steps on to one of the biggest courts in the world on Saturday, the Murray that will walk out on court is not the Murray that lost those 5 matches, he is not the Andy Murray that could not last the pace in Melbourne 2 years ago, nor will he be the player thoroughly out classed by Nadal on the Spanish hard courts earlier this year, he won’t even be the Murray that couldn’t rise to the occasion in that Wimbledon Quarter final. The Andy Murray that will step out on court will be a man that knows he can beat the best the world, who knows he is fitter than anyone on the ATP tour, including Rafael Nadal and most importantly a man that will refuse to lose until the last ball is hit in anger.

murray-nadalHe may have been beat 5 times by Rafael Nadal, but the Scot will win tomorrow in my opinion, He’ll win because he now believes he can win – He’ll win because he is now fitter than Nadal – He’ll win because he can play smarter than Nadal. Most importantly he’ll win because he needs to win, Murray is now at the peak of his form and playing on his best surface and although Nadal is hugely improved on hard courts, it remains the Spaniards least favourite surface and whilst Nadal has seemed unbeatable all year, the Spaniard has looked very beatable at this year’s US Open and has yet to play anyone of top 10 pedigree.

If Murray doesn’t win on Saturday then the title may well be on the way to the Spaniard, neither of the two players in the other semi final, Roger Federer or Novak Djokovic have yet to show their best form and the Spaniard would surely be favourite to cap of an amazing season. Of the 4 men left in the event, it is Murray who has shown the best form, his demolition of the world number 10 Stanislas Wawrinka is easily the best tennis performance of the 2008 US Open. His fight back and guts shown against Meltzer is the best fighting performance and his win over Del Potro was the mental performance of this year’s event.

Of course Rafael Nadal is the overwhelming odds on favourite to win with the bookmakers and based on their head to head record, Nadal’s Grand Slam pedigree and the Spaniard’s amazing form over the last 6 months it’s hard to argue with that – they do agree that tomorrow will be Murray’s best chance to date, his odds for their Wimbledon quarter final was 5/1 with some bookmakers and for tomorrows match most are offering 3/1. It’s definitely a bet that I will be taking, I say it again I think Murray will win. The best odds as usual can be found at Betfair, and if you were thinking of betting for the first time, they are offering a free £10 bet when you sign up and bet £10.

Player  Rafael Nadal  Andrew Murray
 Traditional Odds    Decimal Odds  Traditional Odds    Decimal Odds  
Betfair 29/100 1.29 17/5 4.4
Sky Bet 1/4 1.25 3/1 4
Coral 1/4 1.25 11/4 3.75
Paddy Power 1/4 1.25 11/4 3.75
Bet 365 11/50 1.22 33/10 4.3
Bet Fred 11/50 1.22 3/1 4
Ladbrokes 11/50 1.22 3/1 4
ToteSport 11/50 1.22 3/1 4
Blue Square 11/50 1.22 3/1 4
Stan James 11/50 1.22 3/1 4
William Hill 1/5 1.2 33/10 4.3
SportingBet 17/100 1.2 19/5 4.3